bismillAhi r-raHmAni r-raHiym THIS IS A DRAFT FAQ. 19: STUDY PROBLEMS Rev 1.01, June 10, 1995 (c)1995 Marjan Publications, P.O. Box 459, San Quentin, CA 94964, All Rights Reserved. Permission to reproduce this document for free distribution is granted, provided that this notice is preserved and the document is reproduced in its entirety. Quotation in whole or in part for the purpose of discussion in the Internet newsgroup soc.religion.islam is explicitly allowed. Contact the publisher at the above address or by e-mail ( marjan@crl.com) for further information or permission. Contents. 1.0 Introduction. 1.1 What is the Qur'an? 1.2 What, precisely, is counted? 1.3 Is the data filtered before presentation? 1.4 Is the data verifiable? 1.5 Summary. 1.0 Introduction. This document is planted as a seed; it is hoped that it will grow into an authoritative discussion of the problems involved in the study of what has been asserted to be a "numerical miracle" in the Qur'an. The editor of this FAQ, and the author of the initial draft, is AbdulraHman Lomax (marjan@crl.com). Corrections and comments are invited; permission to incorporate them into the next draft will be assumed unless it is denied. Because the initial person to report the kind of phenomena we will be discussing was Rashad Khalifa, late of Tucson, Arizona, USA, and he also made numerous claims considered heretical by many, the subject is tainted with suspicion. However, Khalifa claimed that the "miracle" was objectively verifiable. As such, it should stand regardless of the truth or falsity of the remainder of his claims. Allah, the Most High, has said in his book (49:6) "... If a wicked person comes to you with news [nabaa'], ascertain the truth, lest you harm people in ignorance...." Further, it remains to be demonstrated that the "miracle" of the nineteen, or the other numerical phenomena claimed by Khalifa and others, if valid, would prove that Khalifa was correct in his other claims, such as the wholesale rejection of hadith. A full discussion of all this is outside the scope of this document, which will not discuss the character and the other claims of Rashad Khalifa; rather we will attempt to define the problems involved in looking at the Qur'an itself to determine if the claims of a "numerical miracle" are justified. Here is what Khalifa said in the preface to his book, a book which was intended to be definitive and irrefutable, *Qur'an, Visual Presentation of the Miracle*: "There now exists physical evidence for a message from God to the world. This marks the advent of a new era in religion; an era where FAITH is no longer needed. There is no need to "believe," when one "knows." People of the past generations were required to believe in God, and uphold His commandments ON FAITH. With the advent of the physical evidence reported in this book, we no longer believe that God exists; we KNOW that God exists. Such knowledge is ascertained through God's final scripture, Quran, wherein overwhelming physical evidence has been encoded. "Employing the ultimate in scientific proof, namely, mathematics, the evidence comes in the form of an extremely intricate code. Thus, every word, indeed every letter in Quran is placed in accordance with a mathematical design that is clearly beyond human ability. [...] "Not only does the evidence prove the authenticity and perfect preservation of the Qur'an, but it also confirms the miracles of previous messengers [....] "[...] Upon reviewing the evidence here, and examining the appropriate narrations, the reader will be as positively certain as an eyewitness." It must be noted that Khalifa, without explicitly acknowledging it, later denied his quoted affirmation of the "authenticity and perfect preservation" of the Qur'an he reproduced in his book. Certain of his counts in *Visual Presentation* were erroneous, and he eventually claimed that 9:128-129 were not authentically Qur'anic, referring to these verses as the "false verses." This document will not attempt to conclude whether or not Khalifa was correct in his conclusions; rather it will examine how we might investigate the problem. In this investigation, certain errors or anomalies in the work of Khalifa will be mentioned. We have seen objections that this is "focusing on the errors of a dead man" instead, presumably, of looking to see if there is an actual miracle. Lomax's response is that these anomalies are mentioned as examples of the pitfalls involved in these studies. He agrees that the errors of Khalifa do not prove that there is no miracle. This brings us to the first difficulty: 1.1 What is the Qur'an? Is the Qur'an a particular written text? Since a copy necessarily differs in some points (large or small, or even very small) from an original, is the Qur'an something that can be copied? Or is it an ideal, a form (sura) which the copies follow with greater or lesser degrees of perfection? Traditionally, the consensus of the reciters has had greater authority than any particular written text. Khalifa generally used the received text of the Qur'an known as Hafs, written in the Egyptian style. There are other received texts, which differ in certain respects from the text he used. For example, in Warsh (another common version), the first verse of the Qur'an, called the invocation, is not given a number; rather the first numbered verse begins with "al-Hamdu lillah" (Praise belongs to Allah). There are other differences as well, essentially matters of spelling. Normally this is not a problem, but if one is counting letters, words, or numbered verses, as Khalifa did in claiming miracles, these differences become important. But suppose that the Hafs version showed the phenomena Khalifa asserted and the others did not? Would this not simply show that Hafs was correct and the others wrong? Theoretically this might be true; however, Khalifa did not always follow the received Hafs version. In particular, he modified spelling in at least two places: at 7:69 he changed a Sad to a Sin, and at 68:1 he spelled out the initial letter, thus adding two extra letters. It could be said that he was following pronunciation, but in numerous instances, he emphasized that it was the written Qur'an that was being studied and counted, not the pronunciation. He justified the change at 7:69 by referring to the Tashkent Qur'an, which is perhaps the oldest extant copy, and the change at 68:1 by claiming that it was spelled out in the "original text." He never specified what, exactly, this "original text" was, or where it could be found. (The copy of the Tashkent Qur'an available to Lomax does not extend to Sura 68, and Khalifa did not mention it in this connection.) So, perhaps Khalifa is referring to the Tashkent Qur'an, as modified by removing the "false verses." But the Tashkent Qur'an does not match the Hafs which he normally counts, in many, many respects. For example, 3:37 in all the current received versions (as far as Lomax knows) has the phrase "inna 'llAh," and it is missing from the Tashkent Qur'an (which, in context has very little effect on meaning: it is only a phrase of emphasis). This, of course, would affect Khalifa's count of the word "Allah," which is crucial to his theory. However, we could start with what is, to be sure, a widely accepted text of the Qur'an, the Egyptian Hafs which Khalifa generally used. If we could find substantial evidence of a numerical code in that text, then it *might* be possible to search for anomalies in the text, to see if some modification of the text, preferably but not necessarily with some authority from another text or hadith, makes the pattern initially found more complete. But if we can pick and choose from the various sources, there appears the second difficulty. 1.2 What, precisely, is counted? How can we tell the difference between a genuine miracle and a numerical pattern which is created by manipulating the data or the method of analysis? Such manipulation can occur, for example, by choosing among different texts or definitions of what is being counted, or by choosing particular ways of analyzing the data over other ways which do not show the desired pattern. I will give an example of each of these, from Khalifa's work, *Qur'an, the Final Testament*, the current edition of his translation, p. 625-626: "We find that "The Quran" is mentioned 58 times in the Quran. However, verse 10:15 refers to 'a Quran other than this,' and therefore cannot be counted. Thus, 'this Quran' is mentioned in the Quran 57 times, 19x3. The suras where the word 'Quran,' in all its grammatical forms, is mentioned are 38, 19x2. The sum of numbers assigned to the suras and verses where the word 'Quran,' in all its grammatical forms occurs, is 4408, 19x232." Looking in the Kassis concordance, I find 70 occurrences of Qur'an. Of course, this includes "all grammatical forms." Checking the number of different suras in which the word is mentioned, it is, indeed 38. The mention at 10:15 is discarded because of reasoning regarding its meaning. It appears that we are not counting words, but meanings, and this opens a whole can of worms. If it is meaning which is being counted, then we are faced with all the places where another word is used to mean the Qur'an, including where it is clear that it is specifically "this Qur'an." In fact, at 10:15, contrary to Khalifa's assertion, the real Qur'an is mentioned, using the relative pronoun "hadha," "this." Further, at this verse, the word "Qur'an" is in the genetive indefinite form (qur'anin), so it is difficult to understand why it was included, in the first place, in the count of "The Qur'an," which would be "al-Qur'an." I find 52 occurrences of "al-Qur'an." What was Khalifa counting? He wrote: "Two other grammatical forms of the word 'Quran' occur in 12 verses. These include the word 'Quranun' and the word 'Quranahu.' One of these occurrences, in 13:31 [,] refers to 'another Quran' that [would] cause the mountains to crumble. Another occurrence, in 41:44, refers to 'a non-Arabic Quran.' These two occurrences, therefore, are excluded. Table 23 shows a list of the suras and verses where the word 'Quran,' in all its grammatical forms, occurs." Table 23 agrees with the Kassis concordance if 10:15, 13:31, and 41:44 are added back in. Note, once again, that some words were excluded because their meaning does not meet some standard. Here is the list of all the forms other than "al-Qur'an," organized by the form of the word (note that there are four forms, not two): Qur'anin (genetive): 10:15*, 10:61, 15:1. Qur'anan (accusative): 12:2, 13:31*, 17:106, 20:113, 38:28, 41:3, 41:44*, 42:7, 43:3, 72:1. Qur'anun (nominative): 36:69, 56:77, 85:21. Qur'anahu (verb + pronoun): 75:17, 75:18. The forms excluded by Khalifa on the basis of meaning other than *the* Qur'an are marked with asterisks. However, since some of the other occurrences could also be referring to other than our Qur'an (a few of them are ambiguous), we are no longer looking at purely objective facts. In particular, the verbs are really a different word ("Recite" instead of "Recitation"), but they are counted in the second and third of Khalifa's statistics. Khalifa did not specify, in his latest edition, what other two forms were included in his count of 57 for "the Qur'an." We know that it was not "Quranahu" and "Qur'anun," because he mentioned those as part of the "other forms." So that leaves "Quranin" and "Quranan." Lomax finds no way to reconcile the counts with the data. For those who do not know Arabic, the three indefinite forms, distinguished only by the termination at the end, "un," "an," or "in," are only different because they are being used as the subject of the sentence, the object of the verb, or genetively (the object of a prepostion or an indicator of possession). The meaning of the word itself is not changed; only its place in the sentence changes between these three terminations. The point is not only that there are hidden manipulations of the data going on, unstated premises, and the like, but also that these choices are arbitrary. If one looks at Khalifa's counting of other words, different standards are applied in each case. On close examinatin, "word" is not a precisely defined term. The only unifying thread is that methods of counting are chosen which lead to a multiple of 19. This leads us to the third difficulty. 1.3 Is the data filtered before presentation? How can we distinguish between selective presentation of data and a truly signifigant pattern? This is similar to the difficulty discussed in 1.2, but, the description is from a different, statistically-based, point of view. Suppose we have ten, or a hundred, or a thousand statistics from the Qur'an which are multiples of 19. Does this prove that there is a "numerical miracle?" From a book even less complex than the Qur'an, it would be possible to generate more counts than there are atoms in the universe, and, presuming that the data was random, on the average, one out of 19 of these counts would be divisible by 19. One could start generating counts of different things in the book, and collect the ones which are divisible by 19. The size of such a list is limited only by the persistence of the one searching for divisible counts. Only in one publication, to date, from Khalifa's followers, is there even a small start toward answering this question, and the analysis presented there was seriously flawed. It will be given here as an example of how easy it is to be misled. >From *Beyond Probability, God's Message in Mathematics*, by Abdullah Arik, Series I: The Opening Statement of the Quran (The Basmalah) [sic]*: Arik presents a series of "Facts" in which he takes the letters and words of the Bismallah (bsm allh alrhmn alrhym) and generates numbers with them. 8 of these facts use the following form: A number is generated by writing the numbers 1, 2, 3, and 4, interspersed with numbers derived from the corresponding words in the Bismillah. The first fact in this form asserted by Arik, called "Fact 2," is "the sequence number of each word in the Basmalah followed by the number of letters in it." This is: 1 3 2 4 3 6 4 6 = 19 x 19 x 36686. ^ ^ ^ ^ He then asks the question, "what is the probability (chances) for the Basmalah's mathematical composition to occur by coincidence? Can we compute this probability? If we can, how? Based on our assumption of coincidental occurrence, we can treat each number in Facts 2-9 as a random number." He proceeds to generate all possible eight-digit numbers which satisfy the criteria that the first, third, fifth, and seventh numbers are 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively, and the number is divisible by 19, finding 527 such numbers, and he compares this with the 100 million possible eight-digit numbers, concluding that, "We can say that the probability of the occurrence of the mathematical phenomenon [,] described in Fact 2, is 189,753 to 1. [sic]" He meant "1 in 189,753." However, actually, the probability is 1 in 19. The discrepancy between these two figures is explained by the fact that he took his exprimental condition (1a2b3c4d) and treated these fixed numbers as if they were random variables. Thus only one out of 10,000 eight digit numbers is included in the experiment, from the outset; since one in 19 of these numbers could be expected to be divisible by 19 (this is the normal case), the theoretical prediction of the result of his (erroneous) calculation would be in in 190,000. The remaining discrepancy is basically round-off error caused by his method. Moreover, the entire analysis is incorrect. Since the statistics given are selected out of a much larger body of statistics, it is certainly true that it is not a coincidence that they are divisible by 19. They were *selected* that way. Unless it were shown that the sample was unbiased, that statistics were not examined and discarded (because they were not divisible by 19), the numbers given in Arik's work prove nothing more than the persistence of Arik and his sources. None of Khalifa's followers have done the kind of global analysis necessary to convert a list of interesting numbers into a statistical proof. There is a fourth difficulty which applies in some cases: 1.4 Is the data verifiable? As an example, Khalifa reported counts of the letters known as "initial letters," which prefix some of the chapters of the Qur'an. Uniformly, he presents these counts as being divisible by 19. It is easy to miss, however, that he does not always count or combine letter counts in the same way to produce a total. This is another example of arbitrary counting criteria. However, with the Suras which contain alif as an initial letter, he always uses the same overall pattern: he adds up the count of all the letters which initial the chapter, within the chapter. He reports all of these counts as divisible by 19. Since there are 13 chapters with alif as an initial letter, this, if true, is strong evidence for the existence of a pattern in the text. From random data, to find a method of analysis which would produce this kind of pattern would require examining an estimated 4 x 10^16 statistics. (This is 4 followed by 16 zeros.) The difference between this statistic and those reported by Arik is that a single counting method, which can be stated in a few words, is applied precisely to all examples (at least, all examples containing alif), whereas the counting or calculation method changes with each statistic in Arik's work. However, counts of alif are impossible to verify. In *Visual Presentation,* Khalifa presented verse-by-verse counts of alif. His counts do not match his own published text of the Qur'an. It is apparent, from this, that he is counting hamza as alif. But he does not always count hamza: for example, both 3:158 and 30:51 contain the same word, la'in, which contains a hamza (represented by the apostrophe); but Khalifa counts 4 alifs in 3:158, apparently including this hamza, but only 6 alifs in 51:30, excluding the same hamza. This is particularly odd in light of the fact that Khalifa strongly blasted his critics for denying that the Bismillah contains only 19 letters because they pointed to similar unwritten letters. (Hamza was not written in the earliest Qur'ans.) Particularly because of the history of Khalifa's counts of alif (they changed radically over the years: the alif count in Baqara increased from 4502 to 4592), Lomax concludes that errors in counting other initial letters forced Khalifa to reanalyze his alif counting in order to keep the total counts at multiples of 19. He re-analyzed until he believed he had found a method of counting that produced the "miraculous" numbers, but he did not go so far as to apply the new criteria to all cases; he stopped as soon as he had the results he wanted. Neither did he state explicitly his criteria for counting. Further, since there are known errors in his counts where there are no hamzas to manipulate, the statistics cannot be accepted, even if the alif counts were correct: He counts 16 alifs in 13:41, where there are only 15 and no extra hamzas, and he misses a lam at 30:21 (He counts 7; there are 8). By no means has this discussion mentioned every error which Khalifa is known to have made; only one or a few examples of each type of error has been given. 1.5 Summary. It is the opinion of Lomax that it will never be possible to prove that there is no "numerical miracle" in the Qur'an; however, it can be said that, until the questions raised in this document are addressed and answered, it remains to be demonstrated that this kind of "miracle" exists. -- 'AbdulraHman Lomax P.O. Box 459 San Quentin, CA 94964 marjan@crl.com
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